The Black Swan
The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Price: 374 Kč
Price for Eshop: 299 Kč (€ 12.0)
VAT 0% included
New
English
In stock, ships in 24 hours
Berlín-Friedrichshain, dodací doba +7 dní
Book information
Penguin Books Ltd
UK
2008
Paperback
400
Standard
221648
978-0-14-103459-1
0-14-103459-9
Annotation
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
Ask question
You can ask us about this book and we'll send an answer to your e-mail.
Write new comment